/nUpcoming and Recent Decays and Re-entries - eventually air drag, gravity or retro-fire mean that a spacecraft or satellite is no longer able to stay in orbit. It re-enters the atmosphere to be destroyed or make a safe landing.
Orbital Focus - International Spaceflight Facts and Figures
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Launches and Orbital Operations

Tyneside, UK
2022 Sep 28
Wednesday, Day 271

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Feeling the Heat!

Air drag and, sometimes, gravitational effects cause satellites to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere. Occasionally, re-entry is caused by a deliberate decision of a satellite owner to fire a retro-rocket and bring some part of a space vehicle back to Earth.

Most re-entries result in the vehicle being destroyed by frictional heating as it passes through the Earth's atmosphere. Some fragments may get through and hit the Earth's surface - hence the system of TIP messages to warn of the event. Only a space vehicle fitted with a heat shield will get through the atmosphere for a landing.

NOTE - Names used here are as used by Space-Track rather than the more-descriptive ones in the Orbital Focus tables.

Anticipated Re-entries

Information comes from Space-Track. Most entries are from the 60-day decay prediction messages that are updated each week on Thursday at about 01:00 UTC. If the re-entry date has already passed then you might find the object is also in the actual re-entry list further down the page.

Below are re-entries expected over the next few weeks. The table includes only natural re-entries of satellites and rocket bodies. It excludes debris items and planned events like a Soyuz or a Dragon spacecraft returning from the ISS.

Cat No Designation Name
Date UTC
Issued UTC
46745    2020-074GSTARLINK-18982022 Sep 272022 Sep 8
53816    2022-113BELECTRON R/B2022 Sep 282022 Sep 28
43616    2018-070DELFIN B2022 Sep 302022 Sep 22
45120    2019-071KVPM2022 Sep 302022 Sep 22
46763    2020-074AASTARLINK-19022022 Sep 302022 Sep 8
49272    1998-067SRBINAR-12022 Oct 12022 Sep 22
47890    2021-021AGSTARLINK-23502022 Oct 22022 Sep 1
43140    2018-004AFSPACEBEE-32022 Oct 42022 Sep 22
45043    1998-067QYSTPSAT-42022 Oct 52022 Sep 22
53103    2022-079BELECTRON R/B2022 Oct 52022 Sep 22
47349    2021-005ASTARLINK-19522022 Oct 72022 Sep 8
46776    2020-074APSTARLINK-19462022 Oct 82022 Sep 8
53747    2022-107AZSTARLINK-46572022 Oct 112022 Sep 22
48850    1998-067SLRAMSAT2022 Oct 152022 Sep 22
46933    2020-085ESPACEBEE-342022 Oct 172022 Sep 22
27390    2002-011BATLAS 2A CENTAUR R/B2022 Oct 182022 Sep 14
32766    2008-017BPEGASUS R/B2022 Oct 182022 Sep 22
37170    2010-049ACOSMOS 24692022 Oct 192022 Sep 14
49054    2021-068CELECTRON KICK STAGE R/B2022 Oct 202022 Sep 22

Recent TIP Messages

Publication of TIP messages is not a matter of routine and they are not issued for all re-entries. They are more up to date and more precise than entries in the table and take precedence over them.

Readers unfamiliar with how to interpret TIP messages are recommended to read the Note at the bottom of the page.

Sometimes there may be a delay between the final TIP message and the re-entry being formally logged in Space-Track's Catalogue so a Message here may relate to a re-entry that has not yet moved from the 'Anticipated' list to the 'Recent' list.

Orbital Focus shows the predicted impact point only when the Window is less than about one quarter orbit. Even then it represents as much as +/-9000 km.

Table created: 2022 Sep 28, 21:47 UTC

Cat No &
Date & Time UTC
Lat, Long & Heading
(10 km altitude)
TIP Message
Issued UTC
SL-4 R/B2022 Sep 24 02:48
± 1 minutes
24°.3 south, 0°.9 east
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Sep 24 07:17
ELECTRON R/B2022 Sep 28 05:14
± 1 minutes
58°.4 north, 70°.5 east
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Sep 28 06:41
DRAGON ENDEAVOUR 2 DEB2022 Sep 28 12:11
± 1 minutes
50°.8 north, 58°.3 east
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Sep 28 13:48
ISS DEB (SEDA-AP)2022 Sep 24 12:08
± 1 minutes
24°.9 north, 37°.7 east
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Sep 24 15:03

Recent Re-entries

This table is extracted from Space-Track's Catalogue and lists major re-entries that occurred in the last 30 days, whether natural or deliberate. The list is updated every few hours.

Cat No Designation Name (SpaceTrack) Date UTC
45464   2020-022ATDO 2 SPACECRAFT2022 Sep 28
48619   2021-042BTDO 3 SPACECRAFT2022 Sep 27
49497   2021-110ANASA DART2022 Sep 26
53880   2022-116BSL-4 R/B2022 Sep 24
42874   2017-042BBFLOCK 2K 432022 Sep 19
45264   1998-067RHSORTIE2022 Sep 18
48620   2021-042CTDO 4 SPACECRAFT2022 Sep 18
49276   1998-067SVCAPSAT2022 Sep 18
43617   2018-070EELFIN A2022 Sep 17
47349   2021-005ASTARLINK-19522022 Sep 17
48867   1998-067SNBD-282022 Sep 15
50575   2021-135BCZ-3B R/B2022 Sep 15
53614   2022-104ACSTARLINK-46542022 Sep 15
53615   2022-104ADSTARLINK-46532022 Sep 14
43049   2017-071NASGARDIA 12022 Sep 12
45533   2020-025CSTARLINK-13392022 Sep 11
43141   2018-004AGSPACEBEE-22022 Sep 6
49073   2021-074CCZ-4B R/B2022 Sep 3
42890   2017-042BTFLOCK 2K 152022 Sep 2
49275   1998-067SUCUAVA-12022 Sep 2
46720   2020-073BCSTARLINK-18232022 Aug 31
49277   1998-067SWPRCUNAR22022 Aug 30

Note on TIP Messages

Close to re-entry time for many objects, SpaceTrack issues TIP Messages with a more-precise warning of the event. The meaning of the TIP acronym is 'Tracking and Impact Prediction'.

The message includes an estimated latitude and longitude for when the object will go through a height of 10 kilometres (definition - Space-Track) above the ground based on the estimated time. It is a rough indication of the start point of the ellipse within which debris might fall given that horizontal velocity will have reduced to near-zero because of air resistance. In most cases, the location is meaningless in practical terms because the Window included in the Message covers a long track across the Earth's surface.

TIP Messages are often a source of confusion as people take the predicted time literally and ignore the error margin (Window) that is also part of the message. In 2011 RIA-Novosti used a TIP Message, issued several weeks in advance, to pinpoint a village in North Africa, doggedly insisting that it would feel the full force of of Phobos-Grunt’s re-entry. SpaceTrack's Window was ±2 days, representing over one million kilometres of ground track and a large proportion of the Earth's surface between 52° North and 52° South.

Page information updated as available

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