/nAnticipated and Recent Re-entries - eventually air drag, gravity or retro-fire mean that a spacecraft or satellite is no longer able to stay in orbit. It re-enters the atmosphere to be destroyed or make a safe landing.
Orbital Focus - International Spaceflight Facts and Figures
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Launches and Orbital Operations


Tyneside, UK
2024 Feb 21
Wednesday, Day 52

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Feeling the Heat!

Air drag and, sometimes, gravitational effects cause satellites to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere. Occasionally, re-entry is caused by a deliberate decision of a satellite owner to fire a retro-rocket and bring some part of a space vehicle back to Earth.

Most re-entries result in the vehicle being destroyed by frictional heating as it passes through the Earth's atmosphere. Some fragments may get through and hit the Earth's surface - hence the system of TIP messages to warn of the event. Only a space vehicle fitted with a heat shield will get through the atmosphere for a landing.

NOTE - Names used here are as used by Space-Track rather than the more-descriptive ones in the Orbital Focus tables.


Anticipated Re-entries

Information comes from Space-Track. Most entries are from the 60-day decay prediction messages. If the re-entry date has already passed then you might find the object is also in the actual re-entry list further down the page.

Below are re-entries expected over the next few weeks. The table includes only natural re-entries of satellites and rocket bodies. It excludes debris items and planned events like a Soyuz, Shenzhou or Dragon spacecraft returning from space station duties.

Cat No Designation Name
(SpaceTrack)
Predicted
Date UTC
Prediction
Issued UTC
50162    2021-125GSTARLINK-33032024 Feb 182024 Feb 18
52014    2022-026GSPACEBEE-1222024 Feb 192024 Jan 31
52021    2022-026PSPACEBEE-1252024 Feb 192024 Feb 8
43852    2018-104DSTF-12024 Feb 202024 Feb 14
47309    2021-002ACAPE-32024 Feb 202024 Jan 31
52012    2022-026ESPACEBEE-1182024 Feb 202024 Feb 14
55245    2023-006DCZ-2D R/B2024 Feb 202024 Jan 31
43832    2018-102BOBJECT B2024 Feb 212024 Feb 19
23560    1995-021AERS 22024 Feb 212024 Feb 19
48027    2021-024BCSTARLINK-23002024 Feb 222024 Jan 25
52024    2022-026SSPACEBEE-1132024 Feb 222024 Feb 14
52011    2022-026DSPACEBEE-1262024 Feb 232024 Feb 14
52013    2022-026FSPACEBEE-1202024 Feb 232024 Feb 14
43817    2018-099BMSPACEBEE-52024 Feb 242024 Feb 14
52010    2022-026CSPACEBEE-1142024 Feb 242024 Feb 14
40379    2015-003DGRIFEX2024 Feb 252024 Jan 31
45102    2020-006BLSTARLINK-11952024 Feb 252024 Jan 25
31135    2007-013AAGILE2024 Feb 262024 Jan 25
43130    2018-004VARKYD 6A2024 Feb 262024 Feb 14
48894    2021-059RSPACEBEE-1072024 Feb 262024 Feb 14
49017    2021-013GIT-SPINS2024 Feb 262024 Feb 14
49439    2021-104AHSTARLINK-31082024 Feb 292024 Jan 31
52015    2022-026HSPACEBEE-1192024 Feb 292024 Feb 14
11251    1979-005AMETEOR 1-292024 Mar 12024 Feb 14
48899    2021-059WSPACEBEE-1102024 Mar 22024 Feb 14
48897    2021-059USPACEBEE-1092024 Mar 32024 Feb 14
52009    2022-026BSPACEBEE-1212024 Mar 32024 Feb 14
52279    2022-041USTARLINK-36862024 Mar 32024 Jan 31
46722    2020-073BESTARLINK-18252024 Mar 42024 Feb 14
48890    2021-059MSPACEBEE-1042024 Mar 42024 Feb 14
52027    2022-026VSPACEBEE-1232024 Mar 42024 Feb 14
52029    2022-026XSPACEBEE-1242024 Mar 42024 Feb 14
52188    2022-033AHPLANTSAT2024 Mar 42024 Feb 8
52399    2022-047FSPACEBEE-1402024 Mar 52024 Feb 8
58436    2023-182BSL-4 R/B2024 Mar 52024 Jan 31
48896    2021-059TSPACEBEE-1052024 Mar 62024 Feb 14
52023    2022-026RSPACEBEE-1162024 Mar 62024 Feb 14
44229    2019-026EHARBINGER2024 Mar 72024 Feb 14
52175    2022-033UBDSAT2024 Mar 72024 Feb 8
52016    2022-026JSPACEBEE-1152024 Mar 82024 Feb 14
41458    2016-025COUFTI-12024 Mar 92024 Feb 14
48883    2021-059ESPACEBEE-1002024 Mar 92024 Feb 14
52406    2022-047NSPACEBEE-1482024 Mar 92024 Feb 8
46569    2020-070APSTARLINK-17472024 Mar 112024 Feb 14
57996    2023-153FSTARLINK-305432024 Mar 112024 Jan 31
48888    2021-059KSPACEBEE-1032024 Mar 122024 Feb 14
52022    2022-026QSPACEBEE-1172024 Mar 132024 Feb 14
57259    2023-094ATSTARLINK-55052024 Mar 132024 Jan 31
44225    2019-026AAFOTEC-12024 Mar 152024 Feb 14
44929    2020-001RSTARLINK-11212024 Mar 152024 Feb 14
58440    2023-183DSTARLINK-309502024 Mar 152024 Jan 25
58730    2024-005CSTARLINK-311502024 Mar 152024 Jan 31
44946    2020-001AJSTARLINK-11102024 Mar 172024 Jan 25
58574    2023-195BCZ-2F R/B2024 Mar 172024 Jan 31
46931    2020-085CCORVUS BC52024 Mar 182024 Feb 14
48886    2021-059HSPACEBEE-1022024 Mar 182024 Feb 14
52020    2022-026NSPACEBEE-1272024 Mar 192024 Feb 14
47965    2021-023AVEERY-RL12024 Mar 212024 Feb 14
48884    2021-059FSPACEBEE-1012024 Mar 212024 Feb 14
48893    2021-059QSPACEBEE-1062024 Mar 212024 Feb 14


Recent TIP Messages

Publication of TIP messages is not a matter of routine and they are not issued for all re-entries. They are more up to date and more precise than entries in the table and take precedence over them.

Readers unfamiliar with how to interpret TIP messages are recommended to read the Note at the bottom of the page.

Sometimes there may be a delay between the final TIP message and the re-entry being formally logged in Space-Track's Catalogue so a Message here may relate to a re-entry that has not yet moved from the 'Anticipated' list to the 'Recent' list.

Orbital Focus shows the predicted impact point only when the Window is less than about one quarter orbit. Even then it represents as much as +/-9000 km.

Table created: 2024 Feb 21, 00:47 UTC

Cat No &
Designation
Name
(Space-Track)
Predicted
Date & Time UTC
Lat, Long & Heading
(10 km altitude)
TIP Message
Issued UTC
58962
2024-029B
SL-4 R/B2024 Feb 17 01:56
± 1 minutes
41°.4 south, 24°.6 west
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2024 Feb 17 06:48
58649
2023-205E
KZ-1A R/B2024 Feb 14 01:33
± 1 minutes
19°.1 south, 85°.5 west
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2024 Feb 14 01:48
55441
2023-014BC
ION SCV-0092024 Feb 14 16:10
± 1 minutes
30°.4 north, 115°.4 west
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2024 Feb 14 21:02
55245
2023-006D
CZ-2D R/B2024 Feb 17 07:11
± 1 minutes
2°.4 north, 168°.6 east
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2024 Feb 17 08:01
50162
2021-125G
STARLINK-33032024 Feb 18 06:54
± 1 minutes
16°.7 south, 18°.2 west
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2024 Feb 18 08:52
45102
2020-006BL
STARLINK-11952024 Feb 14 23:50
± 4 minutes
31°.8 north, 15°.5 west
southbound, ± 0.05 orbits
2024 Feb 15 02:50
43832
2018-102B
OBJECT B2024 Feb 21 21:12
± 300 minutes
2024 Feb 20 21:50
42927
2017-050G
MINOTAUR R/B2024 Feb 12 22:27
± 1 minutes
0°.4 north, 40°.9 east
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2024 Feb 13 03:00
31135
2007-013A
AGILE2024 Feb 13 20:04
± 30 minutes
2024 Feb 14 03:30
29710
2007-001B
CARTOSAT 2AT2024 Feb 14 09:39
± 1 minutes
78°.3 north, 151°.7 east
southbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2024 Feb 14 12:43
23560
1995-021A
ERS 22024 Feb 21 16:38
± 300 minutes
2024 Feb 20 17:26


Recent Re-entries

This table is extracted from Space-Track's Catalogue and lists major re-entries that occurred in the last 30 days, whether natural or deliberate. The list is updated every few hours.


Cat No Designation Name (SpaceTrack) Date UTC
 
50162   2021-125GSTARLINK-33032024 Feb 18
48904   2021-059ABSPACEBEE-1112024 Feb 17
55245   2023-006DCZ-2D R/B2024 Feb 17
58962   2024-029BSL-4 R/B2024 Feb 17
44409   2019-038ZLEMUR 2 EJATTA2024 Feb 16
44839   2019-087BOBJECT B2024 Feb 16
45102   2020-006BLSTARLINK-11952024 Feb 15
29710   2007-001BCARTOSAT 2AT2024 Feb 14
43908   2018-111AJLUME-12024 Feb 14
46321   2020-061BBFLOCK 4V 22024 Feb 14
48082   2021-022ALFEES2024 Feb 14
48926   2021-059AZKSF1-B2024 Feb 14
49813   2021-117BJINZIJING 1 032024 Feb 14
52193   2022-033ANKSF2-B2024 Feb 14
55441   2023-014BCION SCV-0092024 Feb 14
58649   2023-205EKZ-1A R/B2024 Feb 14
31135   2007-013AAGILE2024 Feb 13
57691   2023-125APROGRESS MS-242024 Feb 13
42927   2017-050GMINOTAUR R/B2024 Feb 12
53358   2022-093BCZ-2F R/B2024 Feb 12
43114   2018-004DICEYE-X12024 Feb 10
43861   2018-104NAEROCUBE 11-EAGLESCOUT2024 Feb 10
44402   2019-038SLEMUR 2 WANLI2024 Feb 10
46295   2020-061ZTYVAK-01712024 Feb 10
48885   2021-059GLEMUR 2 JACKSON2024 Feb 10
57316   1998-067VUMOONLIGHTER2024 Feb 10
58616   2023-202ATYVAK-1015 (TANTRUM)2024 Feb 10
48250   2021-033COBJECT C2024 Feb 9
48257   2021-033KOBJECT K2024 Feb 9
58815   2024-014AAXIOM-32024 Feb 9
58904   2024-022FELECTRON R/B2024 Feb 8
43137   2018-004ACAO-922024 Feb 7
44411   2019-038ABLEMUR 2 GREGROBINSON2024 Feb 7
51031   2022-002AZSANOSAT-12024 Feb 7
56159   2023-049AOBJECT A2024 Feb 7
44964   2020-001BCSTARLINK-10862024 Feb 3
47482   2021-006BXNASA PTD-12024 Feb 3
50006   2021-124BCZ-3B R/B2024 Feb 3
52776   2022-057AWFOSSASAT2E132024 Feb 3
39136   2013-015GBEESAT 22024 Feb 2
52736   2022-057ELEMUR 2 KAREN_B2024 Feb 2
57313   1998-067VROBJECT B2024 Jan 31
44809   2019-081FFLOCK 4P 112024 Jan 30
46235   2020-057BSSKYSAT C192024 Jan 30
46932   2020-085DAPSS-12024 Jan 30
51094   2022-003AOBJECT A2024 Jan 30
57315   1998-067VTOBJECT D2024 Jan 30
46680   2020-073LSTARLINK-17742024 Jan 28
46299   2020-061ADLEMUR 2 OSCARLATOR2024 Jan 27
57706   2023-129JSTARLINK-303372024 Jan 27
58812   2024-013BCZ-7 R/B2024 Jan 27
47483   2021-006BYP2-102024 Jan 25
44816   2019-081NFLOCK 4P 72024 Jan 24
47615   2021-006EGARCE-1B2024 Jan 24
52403   2022-047KSPACEBEENZ-222024 Jan 24
46943   2020-085QBRO-32024 Jan 23
47450   2021-006APLEMUR 2 NEVA2024 Jan 23
49325   2021-091LOBJECT L2024 Jan 23

Note on TIP Messages

Close to re-entry time for many objects, SpaceTrack issues TIP Messages with a more-precise warning of the event. The meaning of the TIP acronym is 'Tracking and Impact Prediction'.

The message includes an estimated latitude and longitude for when the object will go through a height of 10 kilometres (definition - Space-Track) above the ground based on the estimated time. It is a rough indication of the start point of the ellipse within which debris might fall given that horizontal velocity will have reduced to near-zero because of air resistance. In most cases, the location is meaningless in practical terms because the Window included in the Message covers a long track across the Earth's surface.

TIP Messages are often a source of confusion as people take the predicted time literally and ignore the error margin (Window) that is also part of the message. In 2011 RIA-Novosti used a TIP Message, issued several weeks in advance, to pinpoint a village in North Africa, doggedly insisting that it would feel the full force of of Phobos-Grunt’s re-entry. SpaceTrack's Window was ±2 days, representing over one million kilometres of ground track and a large proportion of the Earth's surface between 52° North and 52° South.


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