/nUpcoming and Recent Decays and Re-entries - eventually air drag, gravity or retro-fire mean that a spacecraft or satellite is no longer able to stay in orbit. It re-enters the atmosphere to be destroyed or make a safe landing.
Orbital Focus - International Spaceflight Facts and Figures
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Launches and Orbital Operations


Tyneside, UK
2022 Dec 2
Friday, Day 336

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Feeling the Heat!

Air drag and, sometimes, gravitational effects cause satellites to re-enter the Earth's atmosphere. Occasionally, re-entry is caused by a deliberate decision of a satellite owner to fire a retro-rocket and bring some part of a space vehicle back to Earth.

Most re-entries result in the vehicle being destroyed by frictional heating as it passes through the Earth's atmosphere. Some fragments may get through and hit the Earth's surface - hence the system of TIP messages to warn of the event. Only a space vehicle fitted with a heat shield will get through the atmosphere for a landing.

NOTE - Names used here are as used by Space-Track rather than the more-descriptive ones in the Orbital Focus tables.


Anticipated Re-entries

Information comes from Space-Track. Most entries are from the 60-day decay prediction messages that are updated each week on Thursday at about 01:00 UTC. If the re-entry date has already passed then you might find the object is also in the actual re-entry list further down the page.

Below are re-entries expected over the next few weeks. The table includes only natural re-entries of satellites and rocket bodies. It excludes debris items and planned events like a Soyuz, Shenzhou or Dragon spacecraft returning from space station duties.

Cat No Designation Name
(SpaceTrack)
Predicted
Date UTC
Prediction
Issued UTC
40382    2015-004BH-2A R/B2022 Dec 12022 Dec 1
46947    2020-085USPACEBEE-312022 Dec 42022 Dec 1
47710    2021-015MSPACEBEE-782022 Dec 42022 Dec 1
46776    2020-074APSTARLINK-19462022 Dec 142022 Nov 4
47712    2021-015PSPACEBEE-802022 Dec 142022 Dec 1
46946    2020-085TSPACEBEE-322022 Dec 152022 Dec 1
46745    2020-074GSTARLINK-18982022 Dec 162022 Nov 17
47715    2021-015RSPACEBEE-792022 Dec 182022 Dec 1
46944    2020-085RSPACEBEE-332022 Dec 202022 Dec 1
44045    2018-092FMYSAT-12022 Dec 222022 Nov 17
47872    2021-021NSTARLINK-23282022 Dec 222022 Nov 23
43139    2018-004AESPACEBEE-42022 Dec 252022 Dec 1
45761    2020-038AHSTARLINK-14952022 Dec 252022 Nov 10
47709    2021-015LSPACEBEE-812022 Dec 262022 Dec 1
47569    2021-009XSTARLINK-19682022 Dec 282022 Nov 23
47708    2021-015KSPACEBEE-822022 Dec 312022 Dec 1
47707    2021-015JSPACEBEE-832023 Jan 12022 Nov 10


Recent TIP Messages

Publication of TIP messages is not a matter of routine and they are not issued for all re-entries. They are more up to date and more precise than entries in the table and take precedence over them.

Readers unfamiliar with how to interpret TIP messages are recommended to read the Note at the bottom of the page.

Sometimes there may be a delay between the final TIP message and the re-entry being formally logged in Space-Track's Catalogue so a Message here may relate to a re-entry that has not yet moved from the 'Anticipated' list to the 'Recent' list.

Orbital Focus shows the predicted impact point only when the Window is less than about one quarter orbit. Even then it represents as much as +/-9000 km.

Table created: 2022 Dec 2, 05:48 UTC

Cat No &
Designation
Name
(Space-Track)
Predicted
Date & Time UTC
Lat, Long & Heading
(10 km altitude)
TIP Message
Issued UTC
53599
2022-104M
STARLINK-46652022 Nov 26 14:33
± 2 minutes
53°.2 north, 2°.2 west
southbound, ± 0.02 orbits
2022 Nov 26 19:09
52203
2022-036B
SL-4 R/B2022 Nov 30 01:34
± 1 minutes
51°.6 south, 141°.9 west
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Nov 30 02:43
46745
2020-074G
STARLINK-18982022 Nov 27 08:27
± 6 minutes
50°.7 south, 78°.8 west
northbound, ± 0.07 orbits
2022 Nov 27 13:02
45761
2020-038AH
STARLINK-14952022 Nov 28 00:05
± 10 minutes
52°.1 south, 150°.5 west
northbound, ± 0.11 orbits
2022 Nov 28 02:22
40382
2015-004B
H-2A R/B2022 Dec 1 11:15
± 37 minutes
2022 Dec 1 08:46
39194
2013-032A
COSMOS 24872022 Nov 29 12:44
± 1 minutes
69°.1 north, 102°.7 east
northbound, ± 0.01 orbits
2022 Nov 29 17:41


Recent Re-entries

This table is extracted from Space-Track's Catalogue and lists major re-entries that occurred in the last 30 days, whether natural or deliberate. The list is updated every few hours.


Cat No Designation Name (SpaceTrack) Date UTC
 
52203   2022-036BSL-4 R/B2022 Nov 30
39194   2013-032ACOSMOS 24872022 Nov 29
41615   2016-040SFLOCK 2P 72022 Nov 29
41957   2017-008KFLOCK 3P 182022 Nov 29
41981   2017-008AKFLOCK 3P 732022 Nov 29
43725   2018-096GFLOCK 3R 112022 Nov 29
43727   2018-096JFLOCK 3R 82022 Nov 29
43860   2018-104MGOERGEN2022 Nov 29
46949   2020-085WSPACEBEE-302022 Nov 29
46958   2020-085AFSPACEBEE-392022 Nov 29
47714   2021-015QSPACEBEE-772022 Nov 29
45761   2020-038AHSTARLINK-14952022 Nov 28
46745   2020-074GSTARLINK-18982022 Nov 27
53599   2022-104MSTARLINK-46652022 Nov 26
46945   2020-085SSPACEBEE-292022 Nov 24
47711   2021-015NSPACEBEE-762022 Nov 24
39466   2013-072EAEROCUBE 5B2022 Nov 23
47852   2021-019BCZ-7A R/B2022 Nov 23
38710   2012-039DTET-12022 Nov 21
46948   2020-085VSPACEBEE-282022 Nov 21
54229   2022-147CELECTRON R/B2022 Nov 20
43742   2018-096ZFLOCK 3R 72022 Nov 19
44420   2019-036ACLIGHTSAIL2022 Nov 19
53324   2022-089BSL-4 R/B2022 Nov 19
46936   2020-085HSPACEBEE-372022 Nov 18
46937   2020-085JSPACEBEE-382022 Nov 18
51442   1998-067TEPATCOOL2022 Nov 18
52147   1998-067TJIHI-SAT2022 Nov 18
41617   2016-040UFLOCK 2P 12022 Nov 16
41962   2017-008QFLOCK 3P 172022 Nov 16
45800   1998-067RMREDEYE 2 (MERLOT)2022 Nov 16
45809   1998-067RNREDEYE 3 (CABERNET)2022 Nov 16
46952   2020-085ZSPACEBEE-242022 Nov 16
46956   2020-085ADSPACEBEE-262022 Nov 16
51441   1998-067TDOBJECT TD2022 Nov 16
53785   2022-111NSTARLINK-46382022 Nov 16
53028   2022-076AUSTARLINK-41612022 Nov 15
53788   2022-111RSTARLINK-47442022 Nov 15
54240   2022-152DCZ-7 R/B2022 Nov 15
52509   2022-050ATIANZHOU 42022 Nov 14
53791   2022-111USTARLINK-47362022 Nov 14
54238   2022-152BOBJECT B2022 Nov 14
54239   2022-152COBJECT C2022 Nov 14
54241   2022-152EOBJECT E2022 Nov 14
54242   2022-152FOBJECT F2022 Nov 14
30777   2007-006FCFESAT2022 Nov 12
54233   2022-149BANTARES R/B2022 Nov 9
41967   2017-008VFLOCK 3P 12022 Nov 8
43723   2018-096EFLOCK 3R 92022 Nov 8
43741   2018-096YFLOCK 3R 62022 Nov 8
46950   2020-085XSPACEBEE-272022 Nov 5
53759   2022-108CKZ-1A R/B2022 Nov 5
54217   2022-143BCZ-5B R/B2022 Nov 4
54111   2022-137CSL-4 R/B2022 Nov 3


Note on TIP Messages

Close to re-entry time for many objects, SpaceTrack issues TIP Messages with a more-precise warning of the event. The meaning of the TIP acronym is 'Tracking and Impact Prediction'.

The message includes an estimated latitude and longitude for when the object will go through a height of 10 kilometres (definition - Space-Track) above the ground based on the estimated time. It is a rough indication of the start point of the ellipse within which debris might fall given that horizontal velocity will have reduced to near-zero because of air resistance. In most cases, the location is meaningless in practical terms because the Window included in the Message covers a long track across the Earth's surface.

TIP Messages are often a source of confusion as people take the predicted time literally and ignore the error margin (Window) that is also part of the message. In 2011 RIA-Novosti used a TIP Message, issued several weeks in advance, to pinpoint a village in North Africa, doggedly insisting that it would feel the full force of of Phobos-Grunt’s re-entry. SpaceTrack's Window was ±2 days, representing over one million kilometres of ground track and a large proportion of the Earth's surface between 52° North and 52° South.


Page information updated as available

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